Research

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  • Demographics

    Delivering practical, policy-oriented analysis of census and demographic data.

  • Economics

    Examining taxes, economic development, workforce data, and flood resilience.

  • Energy

    Informing policy through research to facilitate solar development in Virginia.

  • Survey Research

    Providing full-service survey design, data collection, and report preparation.

Featured

U.S. citizenship image

More than half of U.S. immigrants are eligible to vote

By
  • Qian Cai,
  • Zach Jackson
    • Fifty-three percent of immigrants in this country are naturalized citizens and eligible to vote. It is difficult, if not impossible, to distinguish naturalized citizens from noncitizens by appearance, surnames, or facility with English alone, as the population of eligible voters also includes native-born offspring of previous generations of immigrants.
    woman looking back at ocean and mountains

    Since the pandemic, young adults have fueled the revival of small towns and rural areas

    By
  • Hamilton Lombard
    • So far the 2020s have turned out very differently than any recent decade. The 2023 county population estimates released by the Census Bureau this spring showed that last year migration rose in small towns and rural counties, making them the top destination within the U.S. The 2023 age estimates, which the Census Bureau released over the summer, show that most of the growth that small towns and rural areas have experienced since 2020 is being driven by growth in their population of 25- to 44– year-olds.

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    Regional Population Change

    National 50-state population projections: 2030, 2040, 2050

    By
  • Shonel Sen
    • Benchmarked on the 2020 Decennial Census Count data, our latest round of National Population Projections provides a look into the demographic future (total population, broken down by age and sex) for all 50 states and the District of Columbia over the next few decades of 2030, 2040, and 2050.
    2023 research award recipients

    2023 Research Achievement Awards

    Bill Shobe was among the faculty honored at the fifth annual Research Achievement Awards at the University of Virginia. He was honored for his public impact research in renewable energy.
    A young girl reading a book

    How school enrollment trends have changed in a post-pandemic Virginia

    By
  • Hamilton Lombard
    • It would be difficult to describe Virginia’s demographic trends over the last few decades without using an adjective similar to disparate or unbalanced. Regional economic trends in Virginia have created a stark income gap and the largest differences in household incomes of any single state in the country. At the same time, many young adults moved away from southern and western Virginia for better opportunities elsewhere, and very few young adults moved to these regions to replace them.
    A graph showing CO2 emissions reductions in million metric tons per year for the global organic chemical sector under an economy-wide net-zero CO2 constraint by 2050.

    Mitigating CO2 Emissions from the Organic Chemical and Plastics Industry

    By
  • William Shobe,
  • Wade E. Fritzeen,
  • Patrick R. O’Rourke,
  • Jay G. Fuhrman,
  • Lisa M. Colosi,
  • Sha Yu,
  • Scott C. Doney,
  • Haewon C. McJeon,
  • Andrés F. Clarens
    • This paper advances the Global Change Analysis Model’s (GCAM) portrayal of chemicals to assess a full set of decarbonization options and identify specific actions that the organic chemical sector can take to reduce emissions.
    Older Adults eating at table in assisted living facility

    Changing Demographics: Older Adults in Group Quarters

    By
  • Sol Baik
    • The demographic landscape of Virginia has seen significant changes over the past century, particularly the increase in the older population. While many older adults prefer to stay in their homes and communities, some inevitably transition to long-term care facilities, such as nursing homes, skilled nursing facilities, and in-patient hospices. This transition occurs when their home environments can no longer support...
    A graph of the average carryover in parts 1 and 2.

    The Effects of Seemingly Nonbinding Price Floors

    By
  • William Shobe,
  • Neslihan Uler,
  • Stephen Salant
    • This study constructs a two-period model to show why the price of storable goods (commodities, bankable emissions permits, or currencies) may be determined by a price floor even though the price floor lies below the determined market price.

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