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Education & Enrollment Trends

Virginia School Enrollment Projections: 2026-2030

On February 25th, the Demographics Research Group released public K-12 school enrollment projections for Virginia’s 131 school divisions for the next five school years (2026-2030), as well as projections of public school graduates and completers.

Where is K-12 Enrollment Headed?

Two conflicting trends—the continuous birth decline over the last 18 years and the post-pandemic recovery in school enrollment since 2021—have made it difficult to predict the future of school enrollment.