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DEMOGRAPHICS HOME > SCHOOL FORECASTS


School Enrollment Forecasts

The Weldon Cooper Center produces three sets of forecasts for Virginia's public school population:

  • annual September 30 fall membership
  • biennial high school graduation
  • biennial average daily membership

The fall membership projections for the state and each school division are grade specific, and extend over a five-year forecast horizon. The high school graduate projections, also for the state and each school division, are produced on an alternating yearly schedule with the average daily membership projections.

More statistics about Virginia's public schools are available in the Data & Publications section of the Department of Education website, particularly in the Superintendent's Annual Report.


ANNUAL FALL MEMBERSHIP
FORECASTS

Read the Report

Download the Enrollment Forecasts in Excel

Previous School Division Enrollment Forecasts

METHODOLOGY

  • Fall membership forecasts PDF

BIENNIAL GRADUATION & AVERAGE DAILY MEMBERSHIP FORECASTS

Read the Report

Download the Graduation Forecasts in Excel

Download the Average Daily Membership Forecasts in Excel

  • Average daily membership, 2005-06 to 2009-10: Choose Excel
  • Average daily membership, 2004-05 to 2008-09: Excel

METHODOLOGY

  • High school graduation forecasts PDF
  • Average daily membership forecasts PDF
 

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