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Population Estimates for Virginia, Localities, Planning Districts, & Metropolitan Areas: Final 2006 & Provisional 2007
MEDIA ADVISORY
January 28, 2008

Metro Areas Gain, Rural Counties Lose Population
Final 2006 and Provisional 2007 Population Estimates for Virginia

Virginia’s population reached 7.7 million on July 1, 2007, increasing by more than 633,000 new residents since the 2000 Census. The Commonwealth has the 12th largest population in the nation. While Virginia’s population continues to increase annually, the growth rate has declined in recent years.


Population growth occurs partly through what demographers call “natural increase”, when the number of births exceeds the number of deaths. Since 2000, Virginia gained 324,000 citizens through natural increase.

Population also changes as a result of people moving in and out of the state. Since 2000, Virginia netted a total of 315,000 residents from migration, split almost equally between those moving to the Commonwealth from other states and from other countries.

The pattern of population change in Virginia is dramatically uneven throughout the state. A relatively small number of very fast growing localities in and around Virginia’s three major metropolitan areas fuel the Commonwealth’s population increases.

“Growth in Virginia is driven by explosive expansion in Northern Virginia,” noted Dr. Michael Spar, who produced the annual population estimates. Loudoun County alone has experienced a population increase of 62.5% since 2000, and accounts for one-sixth of the total population increase for the entire Commonwealth. Other localities in Northern Virginia show large population increases and high growth rates, as do suburban counties around Richmond, Fredericksburg, and Hampton Roads.

Since 2000, 31 counties and cities lost population, primarily older central cities (Richmond, Petersburg, Portsmouth, and Roanoke) and rural localities in Southside and Southwest Virginia. While the cities generally experience natural increase (more births than deaths), migration out of the cities creates a population decline. Population losses in some Southside and Southwest localities (such as Buchanan, Dickenson, Martinsville, and Grayson) are more challenging, resulting from both deaths outnumbering births, and out-migration.


“Virginia is increasingly becoming an urban state. The combined population living in Northern Virginia, Richmond, and Tidewater is now at 5.3 million, or roughly 7 out of 10 Virginians,” noted Spar.

The Weldon Cooper Center's population estimates are the official figures for the Commonwealth of Virginia. They are used by various state and local government agencies in revenue sharing, funding allocation, planning and budgeting purposes.

The 10 Highest & Lowest Growth Rates Since 2000
Loudoun
Manassas
Culpeper
Spotsylvania
Prince Wm
King George
Stafford
Fluvanna
James City
Suffolk
62.5%
35.6%
32.8%
32.6%
32.5%
32.2%
30.2%
30.0%
28.3%
27.5%
Buchanan
Covington
Petersburg
Danville
Highland
Martinsville
Henry
Grayson
Staunton
Dickenson
-11.9%
-6.9%
-6.4%
-6.2%
-6.0%
-5.2%
-4.6%
-4.1%
-3.8%
-3.6%

The 10 Largest Population Gains & Losses Since 2000
Loudoun
Prince Wm
Fairfax
Chesterfield
Spotsylvania
Stafford
Henrico
Suffolk
Chesapeake
Frederick
105,997
91,126
42,763
38,818
29,512
27,941
27,488
17,532
17,384
13,740
Buchanan
Danville
Henry
Richmond City
Petersburg
Portsmouth
Tazewell
Wise
Roanoke City
Staunton
-3,206
-3,026
-2,651
-2,490
-2,152
-2,022
-1,603
-1,435
-1,407
-916


For more information, please contact Michael Spar at 804-371-0202 or mas6g@virginia.edu.

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